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US added robust 273K jobs in February before virus escalated

By CHRISTOPHER RUGABER

WASHINGTON (AP) — Hiring in the United States jumped in February as employers added 273,000 jobs, evidence that the economy was in strong shape before the coronavirus began to sweep through the nation.

The Labor Department said Friday that the unemployment rate fell to 3.5% last month, matching a 50-year low, down from 3.6% in January.

The monthly job gain comes from a survey of payrolls in the second week of February, predating the viral outbreak. So far, there are few signs that the job market has been affected by the disease, but most economists expect hiring to slow in the coming months.

Wage growth slowed slightly in February, rising 3% compared with a year earlier, down from a 3.1% year-over-year average gain in January. Paychecks have grown at a 3% pace or higher for more than a year and a half but have slowed since reaching 3.5% last summer.

The government on Friday also upgraded its estimate of job growth in December and January by a combined 85,000 more than it had previously reported. Over the past three months, U.S. employers have added 243,000 jobs — the best quarter pace since September 2016.

Unseasonably warm weather in February likely boosted hiring in the construction industry, which added 42,000 jobs, and hotels and restaurants, which gained nearly 50,000.

Manufacturing added 15,000, which probably won’t be replicated in the coming months because of supply chain disruptions in China. Last month’s totals include 7,000 temporary Census jobs to help compile the 2020 count.

If employers were to start slashing jobs as a consequence of the virus, it could significantly escalate the economic damage. For that reason, a range of job market barometers will provide some of the most vital signals about how the economy is withstanding the virus’ impact.

Widespread layoffs can transform slowdowns in just one or two sectors — the travel industry, say, or manufacturing — into a full-blown downturn for the overall economy. When workers lose jobs and pay, they typically cut spending. Their friends and relatives who are still employed grow anxious about their own jobs and wary of spending freely, a cycle that can trigger further job cuts.

So long as monthly job gains remain above 100,000 or so, the unemployment rate should stay low and the economy may be able to avoid a downturn. If the monthly pace were to sink below that level for a sustained period, joblessness would likely rise.

Before the viral outbreak struck China, shutting factories and causing shortages of parts and final products for U.S. manufacturers and retailers, the economy was expanding at a steady pace. Annual growth was 2.1% in the final three months of last year.

In 2019, employers added jobs at a pace of about 175,000 a month, slightly slower than in 2018 but enough to absorb new workers and lower the unemployment rate over time.

A pickup in housing sales has supported growth, with ultra-low mortgage rates helping more buyers afford a purchase. And consumer spending, fueled by solid pay increases, has lifted online retailers, restaurants, and the broader economy.

The timeliest gauge of layoffs is the government’s weekly report on applications for unemployment benefits. People who are laid off are eligible for the aid. The latest data, issued Thursday, was reassuring: It showed that the number of people seeking unemployment benefits dropped 3,000 to 216,000 in the week that ended Feb. 29. That is roughly the same as the average over the past month and is a very low level historically.

The job market appears resilient for now according to several gauges. The jobs website Indeed’s data shows that companies have yet to cut their job postings, evidence that they are still willing to hire.

And on Wednesday, payroll processor ADP said companies added a healthy 183,000 jobs in February. That figure was likely boosted, though, by unseasonably warm weather that spurred hiring in construction and a category that mostly includes restaurants and hotels.

Should coronavirus worries start to depress consumer and business confidence, a broader pullback in spending and hiring could then weaken the economy.

So far, that evidence is mixed. A consumer confidence survey by survey research company Morning Consult has already shown clear declines. But a separate survey of small businesses by the National Federation for Independent Business found that about one-fifth of small companies in February planned to add jobs, unchanged from the previous month.

A survey of the Fed’s business contacts released Wednesday, known as the Beige Book, found that half the bank’s 12 districts were reporting consequences from the coronavirus. The Philadelphia Federal Reserve reported fewer tourist groups from China and said many of the city’s Asian restaurants and shops had reported declining foot traffic because of unfounded fears over the virus.

Pella Police Chief Bokinsky steps down

Friday (3/6) is the final day on the job for Pella Police Chief Robert Bokinsky.  He announced last month he was stepping down for family reasons.  Bokinsky has been Pella’s Police Chief for eight years and is taking a new job in Scottsdale, Arizona.  Pella Police Lieutenant Paul Haase will serve as temporary police chief beginning Saturday (3/7).

Ryals pleads guilty in 2019 shooting

A Wapello County man is awaiting sentencing for drunkenly firing a rifle and wounding a woman inside her home instead of a deer he’d hoped to kill. Court records say 35-year-old Lee Ryals pleaded guilty Wednesday to reckless use of a firearm and being a felon possessing a firearm. Authorities say 73-year-old Janet Watson was cleaning her stove on January 4 of last year near Ottumwa when she heard a loud noise and felt pain in the back of her head. She drove herself to a local hospital, where doctors removed a bullet. Law enforcement says Ryals was drunk when he pulled the trigger on the deck of a camper where he’d been staying. Sentencing is scheduled for October 29.

Country Artists Continue To Help With Tornado Relief Efforts

The country community continues to do their part to help out those affected by the tornados that hit Nashville and other parts of Tennessee earlier this week.

Yesterday, CMT teamed with the American Red Cross to host a telethon with artist like Charles Kelly, Dave Haywood, Kid Rock, Travis Denning Blanco Brown, Cassadee Pope and Gavin DeGraw, among others lending their support, with all proceeds going to relief efforts.

Taylor Swift donated $1 million to the the Middle Tennessee Emergency Response Fund.

Dan + Shay also opened their wallets to help the tornado relief efforts, donating $100,000 to The Community Foundation of Middle Tennessee. “We are heartbroken by the devastation the tornadoes left upon Tennessee earlier this week,” they share. “We are so proud to call Nashville our home, and have seen first hand that this community is strong, resilient, and compassionate.”

They add, “What this town does best in times of need, is come together.” The duo’s tour starts tonight at Bridgestone Arena and they share, “through the power of music, we will all unite to celebrate the spirit of our incredible city.”

LeeAnn Womack shared on Twitter that she was dropping off supplies, like blankets, noting other things that were needed include Flashlights, batteries, hygiene items and more.
Nashville is obviously a big music town, and Gibson is pitching in to help out those who may have lost instruments in the devastation. They have pledged to donate guitars to any musician that lost theirs. They need to apply to the Gibson Gives Guitar Recovery Plan via email, to donation.request@gibson.com, with details of their situation.

 

Report: Russian social accounts sow election discord – again

By AMANDA SEITZ and BARBARA ORTUTAY

AP – Four years after Russia-linked groups stoked divisions in the U.S. presidential election on social media platforms, a new report shows that Moscow’s campaign hasn’t let up and has become harder to detect.

The report from University of Wisconsin-Madison professor Young Mie Kim found that Russia-linked social media accounts are posting about the same divisive issues — race relations, gun laws and immigration — as they did in 2016, when the Kremlin polluted American voters’ feeds with messages about the presidential election.

Since then, however, the Russians have grown better at imitating U.S. campaigns and political fan pages online, said Kim, who analyzed thousands of posts. She studied more than 5 million Facebook ads during the 2016 election, identifying Russia’s fingerprints on some of the messages through an ad-tracking app installed on volunteers’ computers. Her review is co-published by the Brennan Center for Justice, a law and policy institute, where she is a scholar.

The recent improvements make it harder for voters and social media platforms to identify the foreign interference, Kim said.

“For normal users, it is too subtle to discern the differences,” Kim said. “By mimicking domestic actors, with similar logos (and) similar names, they are trying to avoid verification.”

Kim’s report comes weeks after U.S. intelligence officials briefed lawmakers on Russian efforts to stir chaos in American politics and undermine public confidence in this year’s election. The classified briefing detailed Russian efforts to boost the White House bids of both Republican President Donald Trump and Democratic Sen. Bernie Sanders.

Last month, FBI Director Christopher Wray warned that Russia was still actively waging “information warfare” with an army of fictional social media personas and bots that spread disinformation.

In a rare, joint statement Monday, the leaders of America’s intelligence agencies cautioned that foreign actors were spreading false information ahead of Super Tuesday to “cause confusion and create doubt in our system.”

But intelligence officials have not released any details about the type of disinformation or explained how Americans should protect themselves from it.

Russia has repeatedly denied interfering in the U.S. elections, and did so again on Thursday.

“You just want us to repeat again that we have nothing to do with the U.S. elections,” Russia’s foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said.

Facebook, which had not seen Kim’s report, had no immediate comment, though the company has insisted that it is getting better at responding to the evolving tactics of foreign and domestic actors.

After getting caught off-guard with Russia’s 2016 election interference attempts, Facebook, Google, Twitter and others put safeguards in place to prevent it from happening again. This includes taking down posts, groups and accounts that engage in “coordinated inauthentic behavior,” and strengthening verification procedures for political ads.

Cindy Otis, a disinformation expert and former CIA officer who was not involved in the research, said that while disinformation messaging has not changed much, the technology used to disseminate the bad information is evolving and improving.

“Certainly with the Russians, they know what kinds of narratives work in the U.S.,” Otis said. “The whole system of disinformation is very effective and they know that it is.”

Kim’s report pulls back the curtain on some of the online techniques Russia has already used in this year’s presidential race.

Her review identified thousands of posts last year from more than 30 Instagram accounts, which Facebook removed from the site in October after concluding that they originated from Russia and had links to the Internet Research Agency, a Russian operation that targeted U.S. audiences in 2016. Facebook owns Instagram. Analysis from Graphika, a disinformation security firm, also concluded at the time that the accounts went to “great lengths to hide their origins.”

Kim’s analysis found the accounts appeared to mimic existing political ones, including one called “Bernie.2020_” that used campaign logos to make it seem like it was connected to Sanders’ campaign or was a fan page for his supporters, Kim said.

Some presidential candidates also were targeted directly.

An account called Stop.Trump2020 posted anti-Trump content. Other Instagram accounts pushed negative messages about Democrat Joe Biden.

“Like for Trump 2020,” said one meme featuring a portrait photo of Trump and a photo of Biden. “Ignore for Biden 2020.”

It was posted by an Instagram account called Iowa.Patriot, one of several accounts that targeted specific communities in crucial swing states like Michigan, Ohio and Iowa with messaging.

The accounts also appeared to capitalize on other divisive American issues that emerged after the 2016 election.

Some Instagram accounts pretended to be liberal, feminist groups as fallout from the #MeToo movement, which has exposed sexual misconduct allegations against high-profile public figures. Other accounts targeted conservative women with posts that criticized abortions.

“I don’t need feminism, because real feminism is about equal opportunity and respect for women. NOT about abortions, free birth control ….” a meme on one account read.

The accounts varied in how often they posted, the size of their following and the traction the posts received. But they carried the hallmarks of a Russian-backed online disinformation campaign, Kim said.

“They’re clearly adapting to current affairs,” Kim said. “Targeting both sides with messages is very unique to Russia.”

___

Harriet Morris in Moscow contributed to this report.

Red Flag Warning for listening area

Thursday (3/5) will be windy and it could be dangerous.  The National Weather Service has issued a Red Flag Warning for the No Coast Network listening area starting at noon today until 6pm.  A combination of dry conditions plus warmer temperatures and sustained winds of 25 to 30 miles an hour with gusts up to 50 miles an hour will raise the risk of fire danger.  Outdoor burning is not recommended Thursday.  Again, a Red Flag Warning will be in effect from noon until 6pm.

Kelsi Thomas murder trial begins

The murder trial of an Ottumwa woman began Wednesday (3/4).  Kelsi Thomas is accused of strangling her five-year-old daughter, Cloe Chandler, in July 2018. In opening arguments, Wapello County Attorney Reuben Neff told the jury that Thomas admitted to police that she had killed her daughter.  Public Defender Alan Cook said he would provide evidence that Thomas’ confession was coerced…and he would also show that the state medical examiner’s conclusion that Cloe’s death was murder was incorrect.

Montezuma girls lose first game at State

Montezuma is one and done at the Class 1A State girls’ Basketball Tournament.  St. Ansgar defeated the Bravettes 51-46 Wednesday (3/4) in the State quarterfinals at Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines.  Montezuma jumped out to a 14-4 lead, but St. Ansgar fought back and tied the game at 18 at halftime.  The Bravettes were up 32-29 after three quarters, but Brooklyn Hackbart scoring nine of her 13 points in the fourth quarter to help the Saints march into the semifinals.  Montezuma Coach Janel Burgess talks about the game.

“We played very hard.  We played very well, especially on the defensive end.  But we didn’t finish possessions.  If you look at the halfcourt set, we did very, very well. Offensively, we didn’t hit shots.  If we would have to you we shot 29 percent from the field overall in a game where we’ve been shooting close to 50 percent from top to bottom. twos, three, everything else. And then you look at the free throw attempts, they had 17, we had 5.  Offensive rebounds were painful because they scored 13 points out of their 12 offensive rebounds.  We have to look and think we had a heck of a season, a great season with great seniors. I’m proud of where we are, disappointed where we ended.  But sometimes you just have to see the silver lining in everything.”

Gracie Urbatsch led St. Ansgar with 15 points.  Shateah Wetering had 22 to lead Montezuma.  The Bravettes end the season with a 23-2 record.  St. Ansgar is now 24-2 and takes on defending 1A State champion Newell-Fonda Friday afternoon (3/6) in the semifinals.  The other 1A semifinal will feature Marquette Catholic against Bishop Garrigan of Algona.

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