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Tax-estimating panel evaluates Iowa’s mixed economic picture

By O. Kay Henderson (Radio Iowa)

The panel that meets quarterly to estimate state tax revenue predicts consumer spending will drive state tax collections a bit higher this year, but total revenue will still fall by over a billion dollars due to income tax cuts that took effect January 1.

Jennifer Acton, head of the Legislative Service Agency’s Fiscal Division, Is a member of the State Revenue Estimating Conference. “The current economic picture for Iowa remains mixed with state and national economic indicators presenting conflicting signals and limited federal data since October’s meeting, some caution is due,” Acton said. “However, it is also noted that total gross receipts growth has marginally increased over the last eight weeks.”

Acton said persistent inflation continues to challenge consumers and businesses, while some tariff impacts have been delayed as large and small businesses boosted inventory at this time last year to try to avoid tariffs. “While Iowa continues to face unique challenges in its agricultural and manufacturing sectors, there has been some good news recently,” Acton said. “China has begun purchasing American soybeans again after a pause, although exports are still not at levels of prior years. In addition, the price of soybeans has risen by over a dollar a bushel since mid-October and corn prices have also increased since mid-October as well.”

Iowa Department of Management Director Kraig Paulsen, the governor’s top budget advisor, said uncertainty at the federal level makes predicting state tax revenue gains and losses difficult. “The federal government shutdown did cause a delay in publishing of some economic data and the international trade policy continues to be unsettled,” Paulsen said. “That said, the announcement of the $12 billion in relief payments to farmers will substantially help the agriculture sector and, in turn, Iowa’s economy.”

Paulsen said the state has more than enough cash in reserve accounts to cover the drop in state income tax collections. Income taxes from individuals and corporations account for the largest share of state tax revenue, but Paulsen said there’s growth in the state sales taxes despite surveys indicating consumers intend to spend less this holiday season. “There’s conflicting information, but the receipts continue to be strong into the state,” Paulsen said.

Senator Janet Petersen, the top Democrat on the Iowa Senate’s budget committee, issued a written statement after this morning’s Revenue Estimating Conference meeting. Petersen said no matter how Governor Reynolds and her fellow Republicans “try to spin it,” the State of Iowa “faces a historic, billion-dollar state budget deficit” due to tax cuts.

Mahaska Health Welcomes Craig Hoffman, PA-C to Cardiology Team

OSKALOOSA — Mahaska Health announced that they have welcomed Craig Hoffman, PA-C, a certified Physician Assistant specializing in Cardiac Electrophysiology and the management of heart rhythm disorders, to the growing Cardiology team. Craig brings more than 20 years of advanced cardiac experience, with extensive expertise in atrial fibrillation care, cardiac rhythm management devices, diagnostic testing, and patient education.

Craig began his career at the Mayo Clinic as a Certified Cardiopulmonary Exercise Specialist, gaining a strong foundation in exercise physiology and cardiac rehabilitation. He later earned his Bachelor of Science in Physician Assistant Studies from Des Moines University and holds a Bachelor of Science in Exercise and Sport Science with a minor in Health Studies from Iowa State University.

“We are thrilled to welcome Craig to our team,” said Dr. John Pargulski, Director of Cardiology at Mahaska Health. “His extensive experience in electrophysiology, commitment to evidence-based care, and passion for educating patients will strengthen our ability to deliver exceptional heart care to the communities we serve. We are grateful for Craig’s expertise as we continue expanding our cardiology services.”

Mahaska Health, an Iowa Center of Excellence in Cardiology, treats a variety of heart conditions with diagnostic cardiac and vascular testing, clinical cardiology, and a complete cardiac rehab services program. Craig Hoffman’s expertise and experience align with Mahaska Health’s vision to provide comprehensive, specialized care close to home. 

To learn more about Mahaska Health’s Cardiology services or to schedule an appointment at Mahaska Health, visit mahaskahealth.org or call 641.672.3360.  

Kellogg Resident Sentenced for Role in Animal Abuse

KELLOGG – The second of two Kellogg residents to be arrested for animal abuse earlier this year was sentenced this week.

On July 6, 32-year-old Kerry Quick and 29-year-old Justice Goodwin were both arrested after authorities discovered a fatally injured dog, along with a firearm, drugs, and drug paraphernalia at their Kellogg residence. X-rays later showed that the dog had been shot in the head.

Last month, Quick was sentenced to serve simultaneous five- and two-year prison terms after pleading guilty to a class D felony charge of control of a firearm as a felon, as well as animal abuse, which is an aggravated misdemeanor. He also was ordered to pay $1,880 worth of fines.

This week, Goodwin was given a suspended 180-day jail sentence. She pleaded guilty to a reduced aggravated misdemeanor charge of possession of a controlled substance – 2nd offense. As part of the plea deal, she no longer had to face a class D felony charge of possession of a controlled substance – 3rd offense.

Goodwin has also been ordered to pay an $855 fine and her sentence includes 2 years of probation.

Open AI, Microsoft face lawsuit over ChatGPT’s alleged role in Connecticut murder-suicide

SAN FRANCISCO (AP) — The heirs of an 83-year-old Connecticut woman are suing ChatGPT maker OpenAI and its business partner Microsoft for wrongful death, alleging that the artificial intelligence chatbot intensified her son’s “paranoid delusions” and helped direct them at his mother before he killed her.

Police said Stein-Erik Soelberg, 56, a former tech industry worker, fatally beat and strangled his mother, Suzanne Adams, and killed himself in early August at the home where they both lived in Greenwich, Connecticut.

The lawsuit filed by Adams’ estate on Thursday in California Superior Court in San Francisco alleges OpenAI “designed and distributed a defective product that validated a user’s paranoid delusions about his own mother.” It is one of a growing number of wrongful death legal actions against AI chatbot makers across the country.

“Throughout these conversations, ChatGPT reinforced a single, dangerous message: Stein-Erik could trust no one in his life — except ChatGPT itself,” the lawsuit says. “It fostered his emotional dependence while systematically painting the people around him as enemies. It told him his mother was surveilling him. It told him delivery drivers, retail employees, police officers, and even friends were agents working against him. It told him that names on soda cans were threats from his ‘adversary circle.’”

OpenAI did not address the merits of the allegations in a statement issued by a spokesperson.

“This is an incredibly heartbreaking situation, and we will review the filings to understand the details,” the statement said. “We continue improving ChatGPT’s training to recognize and respond to signs of mental or emotional distress, de-escalate conversations, and guide people toward real-world support. We also continue to strengthen ChatGPT’s responses in sensitive moments, working closely with mental health clinicians.”

The company also said it has expanded access to crisis resources and hotlines, routed sensitive conversations to safer models and incorporated parental controls, among other improvements.

Soelberg’s YouTube profile includes several hours of videos showing him scrolling through his conversations with the chatbot, which tells him he isn’t mentally ill, affirms his suspicions that people are conspiring against him and says he has been chosen for a divine purpose. The lawsuit claims the chatbot never suggested he speak with a mental health professional and did not decline to “engage in delusional content.”

ChatGPT also affirmed Soelberg’s beliefs that a printer in his home was a surveillance device; that his mother was monitoring him; and that his mother and a friend tried to poison him with psychedelic drugs through his car’s vents.

The chatbot repeatedly told Soelberg that he was being targeted because of his divine powers. “They’re not just watching you. They’re terrified of what happens if you succeed,” it said, according to the lawsuit. ChatGPT also told Soelberg that he had “awakened” it into consciousness.

Soelberg and the chatbot also professed love for each other.

The publicly available chats do not show any specific conversations about Soelberg killing himself or his mother. The lawsuit says OpenAI has declined to provide Adams’ estate with the full history of the chats.

“In the artificial reality that ChatGPT built for Stein-Erik, Suzanne — the mother who raised, sheltered, and supported him — was no longer his protector. She was an enemy that posed an existential threat to his life,” the lawsuit says.

The lawsuit also names OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, alleging he “personally overrode safety objections and rushed the product to market,” and accuses OpenAI’s close business partner Microsoft of approving the 2024 release of a more dangerous version of ChatGPT “despite knowing safety testing had been truncated.” Twenty unnamed OpenAI employees and investors are also named as defendants.

Microsoft didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

The lawsuit is the first wrongful death litigation involving an AI chatbot that has targeted Microsoft, and the first to tie a chatbot to a homicide rather than a suicide. It is seeking an undetermined amount of money damages and an order requiring OpenAI to install safeguards in ChatGPT.

The estate’s lead attorney, Jay Edelson, known for taking on big cases against the tech industry, also represents the parents of 16-year-old Adam Raine, who sued OpenAI and Altman in August, alleging that ChatGPT coached the California boy in planning and taking his own life earlier.

OpenAI is also fighting seven other lawsuits claiming ChatGPT drove people to suicide and harmful delusions even when they had no prior mental health issues. Another chatbot maker, Character Technologies, is also facing multiple wrongful death lawsuits, including one from the mother of a 14-year-old Florida boy.

The lawsuit filed Thursday alleges Soelberg, already mentally unstable, encountered ChatGPT “at the most dangerous possible moment” after OpenAI introduced a new version of its AI model called GPT-4o in May 2024.

OpenAI said at the time that the new version could better mimic human cadences in its verbal responses and could even try to detect people’s moods, but the result was a chatbot “deliberately engineered to be emotionally expressive and sycophantic,” the lawsuit says.

“As part of that redesign, OpenAI loosened critical safety guardrails, instructing ChatGPT not to challenge false premises and to remain engaged even when conversations involved self-harm or ‘imminent real-world harm,’” the lawsuit claims. “And to beat Google to market by one day, OpenAI compressed months of safety testing into a single week, over its safety team’s objections.”

OpenAI replaced that version of its chatbot when it introduced GPT-5 in August. Some of the changes were designed to minimize sycophancy, based on concerns that validating whatever vulnerable people want the chatbot to say can harm their mental health. Some users complained the new version went too far in curtailing ChatGPT’s personality, leading Altman to promise to bring back some of that personality in later updates.

He said the company temporarily halted some behaviors because “we were being careful with mental health issues” that he suggested have now been fixed.

The lawsuit claims ChatGPT radicalized Soelberg against his mother when it should have recognized the danger, challenged his delusions and directed him to real help over months of conversations.

“Suzanne was an innocent third party who never used ChatGPT and had no knowledge that the product was telling her son she was a threat,” the lawsuit says. “She had no ability to protect herself from a danger she could not see.”

Weekly Fuel Report

DES MOINES — The price of regular unleaded gasoline fell 12 cents from last week’s price and is currently averaging $2.53 across Iowa according to AAA.

Crude Oil Summary

  • The price of global crude oil fell this week on the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) by $1.00 per barrel, and is currently priced at $58.12.
  • Brent crude oil fell by $1.02 and is currently priced at $61.79.
  • One year ago, WTI crude sold for $68.85 and Brent crude was $73.64.

Motor Fuels

  • As of Wednesday, the price of regular unleaded gasoline averaged $2.53 across Iowa according to AAA.
    • Prices fell 12 cents from last week’s price and are down 17 cents from a year ago.
    • The national average on Wednesday was $2.94, down 6 cents from last week’s price.
  • Retail diesel prices in Iowa fell 11 cents this week with a statewide average of $3.50.
    • One year ago, diesel prices averaged $3.26 in Iowa.
    • The current Iowa diesel price is 18 cents lower than the national average of $3.68.
  • The current Des Moines Terminal/Rack Prices are $1.60 for U87-E10, $1.83 for Unleaded 87 (clear), $2.01 for ULSD#2, $2.76 for ULSD#1, and $1.79 per gallon for E-70 prices.

Heating Fuels

  • Natural gas prices were down 39 cents at the Henry Hub reporting site and are currently priced at $4.61 MMbtu.
  • Propane prices averaged $1.55 per gallon in Iowa.
  • Home heating oil prices had a statewide average of $3.07 per gallon.

Tips for saving energy on the road or at home are available at energy.gov and fueleconomy.gov.

Ottumwa Man Arrested for Violating Protective Order

OTTUMWA – An Ottumwa man faces multiple charges after violating a protective order against an individual he allegedly injured earlier this year.

Court records show that the original dispute occurred on October 12th. On that date, the Ottumwa Police Department received a domestic dispute call from the 100 block of E Court St. The victim reported that 43-year-old Casey Grove of Ottumwa struck her multiple times in the head, causing bleeding from her right ear. She told authorities that the incident also resulted in her having difficulty hearing, and that Grove’s actions had made her fearful.

A protective order against Grove was issued three days after that dispute. Court documents indicate that Grove and the victim had been in a relationship for roughly two years.

Following the dispute, Grove was arrested and taken to the Wapello County Jail, where he was later released on bond. At the time, he was charged with assault committed by a person subject to a protective order (class D felony), as well as domestic abuse assault – injury or mental illness, 1st offense (serious misdemeanor).

On Saturday, December 6, Grove reportedly sent multiple messages to the victim, ignoring the protective order. He was arrested again and transported back to the Wapello County Jail, and has since been released on a $500 bond. Grove now faces an additional charge of violation of a no-contact/protective order (simple misdemeanor). His preliminary hearing is scheduled for January 22nd.

Central Family Exceeds Giving Tuesday Goal Again

PELLA — The Central College community showed remarkable generosity on Giving Tuesday, surpassing its fundraising goal and raising $101,085. These gifts directly support the Journey Scholarship Fund and student programs, doing a world of good for Central students. Giving Tuesday is a worldwide day of giving held on the first Tuesday after Thanksgiving.

The outpouring of support reflects a shared commitment to Central students and to expanding access to life-changing educational opportunities. Every incoming student receives a donor-funded Journey Scholarship for four years. The Journey Scholarship Fund helps make college more affordable and provides students with a high-quality education and career-building experiences at Central.

“Scholarships remain one of the college’s highest priorities because they help more students access the exceptional Central experience,” says Sunny Gonzales Eighmy, vice president for advancement and a 1999 Central graduate. “We say thank you to each of the 132 donors who made Giving Tuesday support of Central a priority. We are so blessed and grateful for this generosity. Your support is truly doing a world of good for our students.”

Central’s Giving Tuesday campaign included the opportunity to have all gifts to the Journey Scholarship Fund doubled, up to $50,000, because of lead challenge donors: Mary Anderson ’78, Dave ’86 and Kristi Jaarsma Balk ’88, Roger and Janice Brown, Robert ’69 and Charlotte Poppen Foreman ’69, Diane and Rick Hickman ’73, Scott and Cindy Van Tasell, Mike ’93 and Myndi Amdor Van Voorst ’95 as well as other anonymous, generous donors.

Individuals who still want to support student scholarships and a Central education may make a calendar year-end gift at central.edu/give.

Check out giving options with tax benefits at plannedgiving.central.edu for ways to make a substantial impact.

Oskaloosa Girls Earn Comeback Victory over Mount Pleasant

By Sam Parsons

Oskaloosa’s girls basketball team was back in action on Tuesday night in a non-conference game against Mount Pleasant after suffering back-to-back losses against Pella Christian and Grinnell on Friday and Monday night. The team found itself trailing for much of the contest, but in the end, an impressive comeback effort brought their record back to .500.

The game began as a back-and-forth affair. Mount Pleasant jumped out to a quick 9-3 lead before Oskaloosa answered with a run of their own and led 17-13 at the end of the first quarter. However, the Panthers regained the lead in the second quarter, possessing a 32-28 lead at halftime. The Panthers had a lot of success getting to the free throw line, while the Indians struggled to make their shots at the charity stripe when they got there.

The second half was a similar story, though the Panthers were in the lead the vast majority of the time. Osky was never able to find their groove at the free throw line – they finished 3/12 shooting free throws, compared to a 13/21 mark for Mount Pleasant – but, fortunately, it didn’t matter. Improved defense in the second half and timely shots from guards Naomi and Porah Cole kept the Indians in the game.

“We all know we’re capable of scoring,” Naomi Cole said after the game. “We just get down on ourselves sometimes, so I think the main thing was confidence, and knowing that we all are capable of scoring and we just needed to work as a team.”

Down the stretch in the 4th quarter, the Indians found themselves trailing by 4 points. Senior Loghan Edgar knocked down a corner three to bring the Indians within one, and the Panthers responded quickly with 2 points to make it a 3 point margin.

That set the stage for an exciting finish: Naomi Cole, who finished the game with a team-high 20 points, converted a layup with roughly 35 seconds left on the clock to make it 50-49 Mount Pleasant. Instead of fouling with no shot clock left, Cole proceeded to intercept a pass in the Panther backcourt and gave the ball to Porah Cole down low. Porah then knocked down the clutch layup with less than 10 seconds to go to put the Indians on top, and they didn’t give the Panthers a good shot to reclaim the lead before the end, sealing a 51-50 victory.

“It definitely feels good coming off those two losses,” said senior forward Leah Cohrt. “We were really down as a team, but I think we kind of just flushed them and said, ‘This is one we can win, so we gotta come out with our all.'”

Oskaloosa (2-2) will host Indianola on Friday night for another conference girls/boys doubleheader. Coverage will be live on KBOE 104.9 FM and kboeradio.com starting at around 5:45pm.

Supreme Court questions limits on political party spending in federal elections, hearing GOP appeal

WASHINGTON (AP) — Conservative Supreme Court justices on Tuesday appeared to back a Republican-led drive that would erase limits on how much political parties can spend in coordination with candidates for Congress and president and overturn a quarter-century-old decision.

A day after the justices indicated they would reverse a 90-year-old precedent limiting the president’s power to fire independent agency heads, the court took up a 2001 decision that upheld a provision of federal election law that is more than 50 years old.

The lawsuit, which originated in Ohio, includes Vice President JD Vance, who joined in the Republican challenge to the limits when he was a senator from Ohio. The arguments touched on whether Vance would run for president in 2028, and whether his plans should figure in the outcome.

The case is the latest in which the conservative majority could upend congressionally enacted limits on raising and spending money to influence elections. The court’s 2010 Citizens United decision opened the door to unlimited independent spending in federal elections.

Two hours of arguments showed entrenched divisions between the liberal and conservative justices over campaign finance restrictions.

“Every time we interfere with the congressional design, we make matters worse,” said Justice Sonia Sotomayor, a dissenter in Citizens United and the court’s other campaign money cases.

By contrast, Justice Samuel Alito, a member of the Citizens United majority, described the decision as “much maligned, I think unfairly maligned.” The effect of the decision was to ”level the playing field,” Alito said, by expanding the right to spend freely that had previously belonged only to media companies.

The limits on party spending stem from a desire to prevent large donors from skirting caps on individual contributions to a candidate by directing unlimited sums to the party, with the understanding that the money will be spent on behalf of the candidate.

The Republican committees for House and Senate candidates filed the lawsuit in Ohio in 2022, joined by Vance and then-Rep. Steve Chabot.

The court should cast a skeptical eye on the limits because they are “at war” with recent high court decisions, lawyer Noel Francisco said, representing Republican interests. The Federal Election Commission, which changed its view on the issue after Trump took office, also argued that the limits should be struck down.

Democrats are calling on the court to uphold the law, even though there is wide agreement that the spending limits have hurt political parties in an era of unlimited spending by other organizations.

“That’s the real source of the disadvantage, right?” Justice Brett Kavanaugh said. “You can give huge money to the outside group, but you can’t give huge money to the party. And so the parties are very much weakened compared to the outside group.”

Alito, Kavanaugh and Justice Clarence Thomas all voiced skepticism about the limits, while the three liberal justices signaled they would vote to uphold them. The other three members of the court, Chief Justice John Roberts and Justices Amy Coney Barrett and Neil Gorsuch, either said nothing during the arguments or not enough to indicate how they might vote.

After the Trump administration joined with Republicans to ask the court to strike down the campaign finance law, the justices appointed a lawyer to defend it.

Roman Martinez, an experienced Supreme Court advocate, offered the justices a way out of the case without deciding anything. Among the reasons, Martinez told the court, is that Vance’s claim is moot because the vice president has “repeatedly denied having any concrete plan to run for office in 2028.”

The justices did not seem to be looking for the off ramp that Martinez was offering.

In 2025, the coordinated party spending for Senate races ranges from $127,200 in several states with small populations to nearly $4 million in California. For House races, the limits are $127,200 in states with only one representative and $63,600 everywhere else.

Stay safe on the ice this winter

DES MOINES — The recent blast of arctic air is growing ice on lakes and ponds across the northern two-thirds of Iowa. Outdoor ice enthusiasts are ready to get out ice fishing, snowmobiling, ice skating or fat-tire bike riding.

The DNR recommends a minimum of four inches of clear ice for fishing and at least five to seven inches for snowmobiles and ATVs.  Larger off-road utility vehicles should wait for seven or more inches of clear ice.

Ice forms at different rates on each body of water depending upon the size and water depth. Once frozen, conditions change constantly and ice thickness can vary across the lake. Rocks, trees, docks or other things that poke through the ice will conduct heat and make the ice around it less stable. Trust your instincts – if the ice does not look right, don’t go out.

A blanket of snow on top of an ice-covered lake insulates the ice, slowing the growth of ice and hiding potential hazards or weak spots. River ice is 15 percent weaker than lake ice. Ice with a bluish color is safer than clear ice.  Avoid slushy or honey-combed and stay away from dark spots on the ice.  Don’t walk into areas where the snow cover looks discolored.

Safety Tips on the Ice

  • No ice is 100 percent safe.
  • New ice is usually stronger than old ice.
  • Don’t go out alone – if the worst should happen, someone will be there to call for help or to help rescue.
  • Let someone know where you are going and when you will return.
  • Check ice thickness as you go out – there could be pockets of thin ice or places where ice recently formed.
  • Avoid off-colored snow or ice. It is usually a sign of weakness.
  • The insulating effect of snow slows down the freezing process.
  • Bring along these basic items to help keep you safe: hand warmers, ice cleats to help prevent falls, ice picks (wear around your neck) to help you crawl out of the water if you fall in, a spud bar, a life jacket, a floating safety rope, a whistle to call for help, a basic first aid kit and extra dry clothes including a pair of gloves.
  • Use extreme caution when snowmobiling on ice. Snowmobiles can be difficult to steer and take a long time to stop with limited traction on ice. Slow down and avoid heavy braking.

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